Election results in Essendon

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Labor candidate Danny Pearson has been re-elected to represent the seat of Essendon.

The MVBlog doesn’t always agree with Mr Pearson’s position on issues, but congratulates him on his win and hopes for increased local representation in the coming four years.

With almost 70% of the Essendon vote counted, Mr Pearson increased his primary vote by 5.6%.

The swings across booths varied widely with substantial increases in Strathmore, Flemington and Ascot Vale, and much smaller margins in Buckley Park, and some booths in Essendon and Moonee Ponds.

The changes in Mr Pearson’s primary vote in each booth from 2014 to 2018 can be viewed below.

The location of all booths is no longer available on the VEC website. Not all early votes have been counted. The percentages are all for primary (first preference) votes as the full distributions of two-party-preferred votes are not yet available.

Only 70 percent of the vote has been counted.

Essendon booths Primary ’14 % Primary ’18 % Change %
Ascot Vale Central (St Mary’s) 41.0 49.1 8.1
Ascot Vale East (M’nong Church) 42.6 47.7 5.1
Ascot Vale West (Scouts Hall) 36.7 53.7 17.0
Buckley Park (BPSC) 41.3 41.3 -0.1
Essendon (STT) 37.9 40.3 2.4
Essendon Nth (ENPS) 38.2 45.0 6.8
Essendon West 39.3 43.1 3.8
Flemington (MAC) 44.8 53.4 8.6
Glenbervie (EPS) 40.6 47.7 7.1
Moonee Ponds (LH) 33.4 39.1 5.7
M’ Ponds Central (MPPS) 47.3 49.4 2.1
Moonee Ponds West (MPWPS) 47.0 56.0 9.1
Newmarket (Wingate) 51.0 59.9 8.9
Strathmore (SSC) 36.7 48.5 11.9
Strathmore Nth (SNSC) 45.9 68.9 23.0
Postal 43.8 43.4 -0.4
Early 39.1 42.8 3.7
Other 34.5 44.5 10.0
40.9 46.5 5.6

In line with the state-wide vote, the Liberal first preference vote collapsed in Essendon – down from 35.9% to 28.6%.

The Greens primary vote also decreased from 18% to 15.3% – also in line with state-wide trends.

Richard Lawrence’s first preference vote increased marginally from 3.4% to 4.7% and 5% of the vote went to the DLP and other independent.

The informal vote was up half a percent to 4.5%.

Interestingly, the Liberal early first prefeence vote was 33.5% (of those counted). The Liberal vote on polling day dropped to 25%.

The Greens early primary vote was 13% (of votes counted) but increased to 17% on polling day.

Niddrie

Comparing the primary vote per booth in Niddrie is not quite as useful as in 2014 there were eight candidates, six of  whom collectively gained 16% of the vote. In 2018, there were only four candidates in Niddrie and the two lower candidates gained 10% of the vote.

It’s possibly more useful to look at the gain to Labor in the 2PP – two party preferred – per booth.

2PP 2014 2PP 2018 Change
Aberfeldie 54.1% 61.8% 7.7%
Airport West 66.3% 69.7% 3.4%
Avondale Heights 67.5% 68.8% 1.3%
Avondale Heights Central 61.2% 64.4% 3.2%
Avondale Heights North 61.5% 67.0% 5.6%
Buckley Park 51.5% 60.4% 8.9%
Calder Rise 41.8% 56.0% 14.1%
Essendon North 55.8% 68.8% 13.1%
Essendon West 49.3% 52.4% 3.1%
Keilor 43.9% 54.2% 10.3%
Keilor East 62.4% 70.5% 8.1%
Keilor Heights 59.0% 64.0% 5.1%
Keilor Park 60.9% 62.1% 1.3%
Keilor South 56.1% 60.2% 4.1%
Niddrie 61.3% 62.4% 1.1%
Niddrie Central 54.4% 66.9% 12.4%
Absent 60.1% 62.9% 2.9%
Early Vote 59.2% 61.8% 2.6%
Postal Vote 57.2% 57.7% 0.5%
57.7% 62.6% 4.9%

For completeness, here’s the change in primary vote at each booth:

Primary ’14 Primary ’18 Change
Aberfeldie 42.2% 51.7% 9.5%
Airport West 56.9% 62.1% 5.2%
Avondale Heights 51.4% 61.1% 9.7%
Avondale Heights Central 46.0% 58.4% 12.4%
Avondale Heights North 48.8% 65.7% 16.9%
Buckley Park 42.0% 51.8% 9.8%
Calder Rise 34.0% 49.3% 15.3%
Essendon North 41.1% 57.8% 16.7%
Essendon West 36.5% 43.3% 6.8%
Keilor 33.9% 46.5% 12.6%
Keilor East 49.5% 64.6% 15.1%
Keilor Heights 48.5% 56.4% 7.9%
Keilor Park 50.1% 56.2% 6.0%
Keilor South 41.6% 53.9% 12.2%
Niddrie 50.6% 56.2% 5.6%
Niddrie Central 44.2% 55.3% 11.1%
Absent 40.4% 51.5% 11.1%
Early Vote 47.7% 54.4% 6.7%
Postal Vote 48.9% 51.8% 2.8%
46.2% 56.3% 10.1%

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